Investigation of Metabolic Factors Associated with eGFR Decline Over 1 Year in a Japanese Population without CKD

AIM Early intervention before the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) is essential to prevent end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and cardiovascular complications. This study evaluated the correlation between metabolic and lifestyle-related factors and the decline of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) over 1 year in a Japanese population without CKD. METHODS Subjects who received two consecutive annual health checkups from 2013 to 2015 were involved. Factors associated with eGFR decline were identified using multiple regression models. RESULTS A total of 2531 subjects aged 58.9±11.7 years old were included in this study. Baseline levels of HDL-C and ApoA1 correlated with the eGFR decline over 1 year defined as eGFR reduction rate of 15% or more and/or eGFR at the next year ＜60 ml/min/m2 (odds ratio (OR) 0.87 (per 10 mg/dl); 95% CI, 0.80-0.94; p=0.0012, 0.90 (per 10 mg/dl); 0.86-0.96; p=0.0004, respectively). A U-shaped relationship between the eGFR decline and HDL-C or ApoA1 levels was not observed in non-CKD population of this study. Metabolic syndrome was significantly associated with eGFR decline (OR 1.32; 1.04-1.67; p=0.0205), although obesity-related factors did not show a significant correlation with eGFR decline over 1 year. CONCLUSION Low HDL-C and ApoA1 levels significantly correlated with eGFR decline in a short period of 1 year. Metabolic syndrome also showed a significant association with eGFR decline. This study suggests the importance of hypertension and low HDL-C in the metabolic syndrome effect on eGFR decline rather than obesity in non-CKD population.